Tema: NUEVO CICLO SOLAR/+tormentas GEOMAGNÉTICAS!!: PELIGRO!! x INST ELÉCTRICAS, TELECOMUNICAC, ETC.

No salimos de una y ya tenemos otra. Por si no tuviéramos poco con Sebas y quienes le "asesoran" desde fuera, ahora hasta el Sol nos la tiene jurada... Cagüen los mayas y en la madre que los parió ; a ver si van a acertar entre unas cosas y otras...
Al hilo de esta noticia de hoy:
www.abc.es/20110224/ciencia/abci-llamarada-solar-201102240839.html
Por qué la llamarada solar del 14 de febrero no provocó el caos en la Tierra. Toda la energía enviada por el Sol se desvió de forma inocente hacia los polos de la TierraJOSE MANUEL NIEVES Día 04/03/2011 - 19.13h


Pues tiro de archivo con un montón de enlaces que tenía del año 2008/9 porque PARECE QUE YA SE ESTÁ CUMPLIENDO LO QUE AVISABAN ENTONCES. PARECE QUE EL PASADO 14F NOS HEMOS LIBRADO -POR SUERTE- DE UNA GORDA. PERO AVISAN QUE ESTE FUE EL 1er TORMENTÓN SOLAR DE UNOS 1700 !! DE AQUÍ AL 2014. YA DESDE 2008 HAY BASTANTE ACOJONO PORQUE UNA DE ESAS PODRÍA SUPONER PARA EEUU UNOS 10 AÑOS DE INTENSO TRABAJO Y COSTES PARA RESTABLECER LA RED ELÉCTRICA (afectando a TODO lo que depende de electr: potabilizadoras de agua, NUCLEARES INCLUÍDAS y un largo etc, como sabemos). ESPEREMOS QUE LA UE SE TOME EN SERIO ESTA AMENAZA EN GRAL. Y TB EN LO REFERENTE A LAS NUCL. Por entonces ya pregunté a un experto de años estudiando las manchas solares y confirmaba que estaba teniendo un comportamiento anómalo. Me aclaró que con los paneles solares no habría problema, pero con toda la red y transformadores (y no sé si nuestros inversores) la puede organizar parda.

Y porque ponga 2012/14 no tomarlo a broma con las profecías Mayas ni leches, es un nuevo ciclo solar, y los mayas no sabían que íbamos a tener electricidad... aunque puede afectar a más aspectos..

Así que empiezo con algunos links:
Comienza el ciclo solar número 24 - Ciencia NASA: Comienza el ciclo solar número 24

www.infowars.com/2012-may-bring-the-perfect-storm-solar-flares-systems-collapse/2012 may bring the “perfect storm” — solar flares, systems collapse Alfred Webre April 2, 2009


"....The National Academy of Sciences report states: “A severe space weather event in the US could induce ground currents that would knock out 300 key transformers within about 90 seconds, cutting off the power for more than 130 million people.”

www.newscientist.com/article/mg20127001.300-space-storm-alert-90-seconds-from-catastrophe.html?full=true
Space storm alert: 90 seconds from catastrophe

• 23 March 2009 by Michael Brooks Video: When plasma is flung at Earth
• "... 30 days of coal left Nuclear power stations wouldn't fare much better. They are programmed to shut down in the event of serious grid problems and are not allowed to restart until the power grid is up and running...."
  

(vaya, se me ha bloqueado el archivo word; mañana sigo con más links; aunque ya pueden ir curioseando que el tema es gordo tb)

Ostia!!
Me parece muy , pero que muy grave. Yo no soy hipocondriaco, pero si esto puede suceder asi de-repente, y tenenemos ahi las centrasles nuclerares, que no pueden parar rapidamente, y se puede inutilizar el sistema electrico, estariamos ante una catastrofe inimaginable.
ESpero que desde europa, ahora que se va a revisar el funcionamiento de las nucleares se vigile este tema, sino estamos jodidos!!

Vaya, veo que este link que puse ya no está vigente:
www.newscientist.com/article/mg20127001.300-space-storm-alert-90-seconds-from-catastrophe.html?full=true
Space storm alert: 90 seconds from catastrophe
Así que lo copio del archivo que tenía:
· 23 March 2009 by Michael Brooks
For similar stories, visit the Solar System
Video: When plasma is flung at Earth: www.newscientist.com/video?bcpid=25196461001&bclid=61383522001&bctid=16 944392001( 1minuto)
Related editorial:We must heed the threat of solar storms
IT IS midnight on 22 September 2012 and the skies above Manhattan are filled with a flickering curtain of colourful light. Few New Yorkers have seen the aurora this far south but their fascination is short-lived. Within a few seconds, electric bulbs dim and flicker, then become unusually bright for a fleeting moment. Then all the lights in the state go out. Within 90 seconds, the entire eastern half of the US is without power.
A year later and millions of Americans are dead and the nation's infrastructure lies in tatters. The World Bank declares America a developing nation. Europe, Scandinavia, China and Japan are also struggling to recover from the same fateful event - a violent storm, 150 million kilometres away on the surface of the sun.
It sounds ridiculous. Surely the sun couldn't create so profound a disaster on Earth. Yet an extraordinary report funded by NASA and issued by the US National Academy of Sciences (NAS) in January this year claims it could do just that.
Over the last few decades, western civilisations have busily sown the seeds of their own destruction. Our modern way of life, with its reliance on technology, has unwittingly exposed us to an extraordinary danger: plasma balls spewed from the surface of the sun could wipe out our power grids, with catastrophic consequences.
The projections of just how catastrophic make chilling reading. "We're moving closer and closer to the edge of a possible disaster," says Daniel Baker, a space weather expert based at the University of Colorado in Boulder, and chair of the NAS committee responsible for the report.
It is hard to conceive of the sun wiping out a large amount of our hard-earned progress. Nevertheless, it is possible. The surface of the sun is a roiling mass of plasma - charged high-energy particles - some of which escape the surface and travel through space as the solar wind. From time to time, that wind carries a billion-tonne glob of plasma, a fireball known as a coronal mass ejection (see "When hell comes to Earth"). If one should hit the Earth's magnetic shield, the result could be truly devastating.
The incursion of the plasma into our atmosphere causes rapid changes in the configuration of Earth's magnetic field which, in turn, induce currents in the long wires of the power grids. The grids were not built to handle this sort of direct current electricity. The greatest danger is at the step-up and step-down transformers used to convert power from its transport voltage to domestically useful voltage. The increased DC current creates strong magnetic fields that saturate a transformer's magnetic core. The result is runaway current in the transformer's copper wiring, which rapidly heats up and melts. This is exactly what happened in the Canadian province of Quebec in March 1989, and six million people spent 9 hours without electricity. But things could get much, much worse than that.
Worse than Katrina

The most serious space weather event in history happened in 1859. It is known as the Carrington event, after the British amateur astronomer Richard Carrington, who was the first to note its cause: "two patches of intensely bright and white light" emanating from a large group of sunspots. The Carrington event comprised eight days of severe space weather.
There were eyewitness accounts of stunning auroras, even at equatorial latitudes. The world's telegraph networks experienced severe disruptions, and Victorian magnetometers were driven off the scale.
Though a solar outburst could conceivably be more powerful, "we haven't found an example of anything worse than a Carrington event", says James Green, head of NASA's planetary division and an expert on the events of 1859. "From a scientific perspective, that would be the one that we'd want to survive." However, the prognosis from the NASA analysis is that, thanks to our technological prowess, many of us may not.
There are two problems to face. The first is the modern electricity grid, which is designed to operate at ever higher voltages over ever larger areas. Though this provides a more efficient way to run the electricity networks, minimising power losses and wastage through overproduction, it has made them much more vulnerable to space weather. The high-power grids act as particularly efficient antennas, channelling enormous direct currents into the power transformers.
The second problem is the grid's interdependence with the systems that support our lives: water and sewage treatment, supermarket delivery infrastructures, power station controls, financial markets and many others all rely on electricity. Put the two together, and it is clear that a repeat of the Carrington event could produce a catastrophe the likes of which the world has never seen. -1º

...continúa .
"It's just the opposite of how we usually think of natural disasters," says John Kappenman, a power industry analyst with the Metatech Corporation of Goleta, California, and an advisor to the NASA committee that produced the report. "Usually the less developed regions of the world are most vulnerable, not the highly sophisticated technological regions."
According to the NAS report, a severe space weather event in the US could induce ground currents that would knock out 300 key transformers within about 90 seconds, cutting off the power for more than 130 million people (see map). From that moment, the clock is ticking for America.
First to go - immediately for some people - is drinkable water. Anyone living in a high-rise apartment, where water has to be pumped to reach them, would be cut off straight away. For the rest, drinking water will still come through the taps for maybe half a day. With no electricity to pump water from reservoirs, there is no more after that.
There is simply no electrically powered transport: no trains, underground or overground. Our just-in-time culture for delivery networks may represent the pinnacle of efficiency, but it means that supermarket shelves would empty very quickly - delivery trucks could only keep running until their tanks ran out of fuel, and there is no electricity to pump any more from the underground tanks at filling stations.
Back-up generators would run at pivotal sites - but only until their fuel ran out. For hospitals, that would mean about 72 hours of running a bare-bones, essential care only, service. After that, no more modern healthcare.
72 hours of healthcare remaining
The truly shocking finding is that this whole situation would not improve for months, maybe years: melted transformer hubs cannot be repaired, only replaced. "From the surveys I've done, you might have a few spare transformers around, but installing a new one takes a well-trained crew a week or more," says Kappenman. "A major electrical utility might have one suitably trained crew, maybe two."
Within a month, then, the handful of spare transformers would be used up. The rest will have to be built to order, something that can take up to 12 months.
Even when some systems are capable of receiving power again, there is no guarantee there will be any to deliver. Almost all natural gas and fuel pipelines require electricity to operate. Coal-fired power stations usually keep reserves to last 30 days, but with no transport systems running to bring more fuel, there will be no electricity in the second month.
30 days of coal leftNuclear power stations wouldn't fare much better. They are programmed to shut down in the event of serious grid problems and are not allowed to restart until the power grid is up and running.
With no power for heating, cooling or refrigeration systems, people could begin to die within days. There is immediate danger for those who rely on medication. Lose power to New Jersey, for instance, and you have lost a major centre of production of pharmaceuticals for the entire US. Perishable medications such as insulin will soon be in short supply. "In the US alone there are a million people with diabetes," Kappenman says. "Shut down production, distribution and storage and you put all those lives at risk in very short order."
Help is not coming any time soon, either. If it is dark from the eastern seaboard to Chicago, some affected areas are hundreds, maybe thousands of miles away from anyone who might help. And those willing to help are likely to be ill-equipped to deal with the sheer scale of the disaster. "If a Carrington event happened now, it would be like a hurricane Katrina, but 10 times worse," says Paul Kintner, a plasma physicist at Cornell University in Ithaca, New York.
In reality, it would be much worse than that. Hurricane Katrina's societal and economic impact has been measured at $81 billion to $125 billion. According to the NAS report, the impact of what it terms a "severe geomagnetic storm scenario" could be as high as $2 trillion. And that's just the first year after the storm. The NAS puts the recovery time at four to 10 years. It is questionable whether the US would ever bounce back.
4-10 years to recover
"I don't think the NAS report is scaremongering," says Mike Hapgood, who chairs the European Space Agency's (ESA) space weather team. Green agrees. "Scientists are conservative by nature and this group is really thoughtful," he says. "This is a fair and balanced report."
Such nightmare scenarios are not restricted to North America. High latitude nations such as Sweden and Norway have been aware for a while that, while regular views of the aurora are pretty, they are also reminders of an ever-present threat to their electricity grids. However, the trend towards installing extremely high voltage grids means that lower latitude countries are also at risk. For example, China is on the way to implementing a 1000-kilovolt electrical grid, twice the voltage of the US grid. This would be a superb conduit for space weather-induced disaster because the grid's efficiency to act as an antenna rises as the voltage between the grid and the ground increases. "China is going to discover at some point that they have a problem," Kappenman says.

.......continúa
Neither is Europe sufficiently prepared. Responsibility for dealing with space weather issues is "very fragmented" in Europe, says Hapgood.
Europe's electricity grids, on the other hand, are highly interconnected and extremely vulnerable to cascading failures. In 2006, the routine switch-off of a small part of Germany's grid - to let a ship pass safely under high-voltage cables - caused a cascade power failure across western Europe. In France alone, five million people were left without electricity for two hours. "These systems are so complicated we don't fully understand the effects of twiddling at one place," Hapgood says. "Most of the time it's alright, but occasionally it will get you."
The good news is that, given enough warning, the utility companies can take precautions, such as adjusting voltages and loads, and restricting transfers of energy so that sudden spikes in current don't cause cascade failures. There is still more bad news, however. Our early warning system is becoming more unreliable by the day.
By far the most important indicator of incoming space weather is NASA's Advanced Composition Explorer (ACE). The probe, launched in 1997, has a solar orbit that keeps it directly between the sun and Earth. Its uninterrupted view of the sun means it gives us continuous reports on the direction and velocity of the solar wind and other streams of charged particles that flow past its sensors. ACE can provide between 15 and 45 minutes' warning of any incoming geomagnetic storms. The power companies need about 15 minutes to prepare their systems for a critical event, so that would seem passable.
15 minutes' warning
However, observations of the sun and magnetometer readings during the Carrington event shows that the coronal mass ejection was travelling so fast it took less than 15 minutes to get from where ACE is positioned to Earth. "It arrived faster than we can do anything," Hapgood says.
There is another problem. ACE is 11 years old, and operating well beyond its planned lifespan. The onboard detectors are not as sensitive as they used to be, and there is no telling when they will finally give up the ghost. Furthermore, its sensors become saturated in the event of a really powerful solar flare. "It was built to look at average conditions rather than extremes," Baker says.
He was part of a space weather commission that three years ago warned about the problems of relying on ACE. "It's been on my mind for a long time," he says. "To not have a spare, or a strategy to replace it if and when it should fail, is rather foolish."
There is no replacement for ACE due any time soon. Other solar observation satellites, such as the Solar and Heliospheric Observatory (SOHO) can provide some warning, but with less detailed information and - crucially - much later. "It's quite hard to assess what the impact of losing ACE will be," Hapgood says. "We will largely lose the early warning capability."
The world will, most probably, yawn at the prospect of a devastating solar storm until it happens. Kintner says his students show a "deep indifference" when he lectures on the impact of space weather. But if policy-makers show a similar indifference in the face of the latest NAS report, it could cost tens of millions of lives, Kappenman reckons. "It could conceivably be the worst natural disaster possible," he says.
The report outlines the worst case scenario for the US. The "perfect storm" is most likely on a spring or autumn night in a year of heightened solar activity - something like 2012. Around the equinoxes, the orientation of the Earth's field to the sun makes us particularly vulnerable to a plasma strike.
What's more, at these times of year, electricity demand is relatively low because no one needs too much heating or air conditioning. With only a handful of the US grid's power stations running, the system relies on computer algorithms shunting large amounts of power around the grid and this leaves the network highly vulnerable to sudden spikes.
If ACE has failed by then, or a plasma ball flies at us too fast for any warning from ACE to reach us, the consequences could be staggering. "A really large storm could be a planetary disaster," Kappenman says.
So what should be done? No one knows yet - the report is meant to spark that conversation. Baker is worried, though, that the odds are stacked against that conversation really getting started. As the NAS report notes, it is terribly difficult to inspire people to prepare for a potential crisis that has never happened before and may not happen for decades to come. "It takes a lot of effort to educate policy-makers, and that is especially true with these low-frequency events," he says.
We should learn the lessons of hurricane Katrina, though, and realise that "unlikely" doesn't mean "won't happen". Especially when the stakes are so high. The fact is, it could come in the next three or four years - and with devastating effects. "The Carrington event happened during a mediocre, ho-hum solar cycle," Kintner says. "It came out of nowhere, so we just don't know when something like that is going to happen again."
Related editorial:We must heed the threat of solar storms
Bibliography

1. Severe Space Weather Events - Understanding Societal and Economic Impacts (National Academies Press)

When hell comes to Earth

Severe space weather events often coincide with the appearance of sunspots, which are indicators of particularly intense magnetic fields at the sun's surface.
The chaotic motion of charged particles in the upper atmosphere of the sun creates magnetic fields that writhe, twist and turn, and occasionally snap and reconfigure themselves in what is known as a "reconnection". These reconnection events are violent, and can fling out billions of tonness of plasma in a "coronal mass ejection" (CME).
If flung towards the Earth, the plasma ball will accelerate as it travels through space and its intense magnetic field will soon interact with the planet's magnetic field, the magnetosphere. Depending on the relative orientation of the two fields, several things can happen. If the fields are oriented in the same direction, they slip round one another. (ESTO QUE AVISABA EN 2009 ES LO QUE DICE EL LINK DEL ABC PUESTO ANTES; VINO CON ORIENTACIÓN FAVORABLE; CON LA 1ª DE UNAS 1.700 QUE CALCULAN HEMOS TENIDO SUERTE ) . In the worst case scenario, though, when the field of a particularly energetic CME opposes the Earth's field, things get much more dramatic. "The Earth can't cope with the plasma," says James Green, head of NASA's planetary division. "The CME just opens up the magnetosphere like a can-opener, and matter squirts in."
The sun's activity waxes and wanes every 11 years or so, with the appearance of sunspots following the same cycle. This period isn't consistent, however. Sometimes the interval between sunspot maxima is as short as nine years, other times as long as 14 years. At the moment the sun appears calm. "We're in the equivalent of an idyllic summer's day. The sun is quiet and benign, the quietest it has been for 100 years," says Mike Hapgood, who chairs the European Space Agency's space weather team, "but it could turn the other way." The next solar maximum is expected in 2012.
http://science.nasa.gov/headlines/y2009/21jan_severespaceweather.htm
Apocalipsis geomagnético
Recuerdan las profecías mayas que hablan acerca del fin de la civilización para el año 2012? Muchos no creen en ese tipo de cosas, pero según científicos de la NASA, esto no estaría completamente alejado de la realidad. "No tenemos idea del potencial destructivo de las tormentas solares".

Un libro llamado "Graves eventos climáticos espaciales: Comprendiendo las repercusiones sociales y económicas" describe las consecuencias de los vientos solares cuya descarga de energía podría tener un grave efecto sobre el campo magnético de la tierra, y no solo sobre él, también podría sobrecargar los cables de alta tensión y provocar cortos circuitos de magnitudes globales. Esta catástrofe le podría costar a EEUU de 1 a 2 trillones de dólares¡¡ sólo el primer año (sin exagerar). Recuperarse de esta catástrofe podría tomar aproximadamente 10 años. No está por demás decir que este grave efecto en las redes eléctricas podría afectar en mayor medida a los países en vías de desarrollo como el nuestro, que no tenemos un capital suficiente como para afrontar este gasto.

Y para agravar más la situación, se espera que este incremento en la actividad solar para el 2012 coincida justo con un inusual hoyo en el campo magnético de la tierra. Por si no lo saben, nuestro campo magnético nos protege de los nocivos rayos solares, al tener este hoyo, esta protección se verá reducida enormemente justo cuando más la necesitaríamos. (no sólo nos abandona la banca y los poliquillos; tb la atmósfera ...)


http://sohowww.nascom.nasa.gov/pickoftheweek/ SOLAR AND HELIOSPHERIC OBSERVATORY (• European Site • US Site

Last modification: 01 Apr 2011
VER ESTAS FOTOS COMPARATIVAS DEL SOL: PASADO 1ABRIL Y DE 2009 !! (CLICAR LINK, PORQUE NO PUEDO COPIARLA)

Then and Now (April 1, 2011)

Hi-res TIF image (2.3M)


Quicktime Movie: Large ( 27M), Small (2.0M)

MPEG Large (2.3M), Large (263K)

A side-by-side comparison of the Sun from precisely two years ago (left, from SOHO) to the present (right, from Solar Dynamics Observatory) dramatically illustrates just how active the Sun has become (Mar. 27-28, 2011). Viewed in two similar wavelengths of extreme ultraviolet light, the Sun now sports numerous active regions that appear as lighter areas that are capable of producing solar storms. Two years ago the Sun was in a very quiet period (solar minimum). The Sun?s maximum period of activity is predicted to be around 2013, so we still have quite a ways to go.

http://www.bibliotecapleyades.net/esp_2012_30.htm
by Michael Salla, Ph.D. March 27, 2009
A report issued by the National Research Council (NRC) in January 2009 ( = CSIC de España) (Severe Space Weather Events - Understanding Societal and Economic Impacts) has warned of the far reaching consequences of a solar storm hitting the Earth as the sun becomes more active during solar cycle 24 which began in 2008 and peaks around 2012.

A March 23 article in the New Scientist (Space Storm Alert - 90 Seconds From Catastrophe) discussed the significance of the NRC report which details how a solar storm could wipe out the electrical power grid causing massive disruption in the U.S. and around the planet.

The impact of the plasma energy directly bombarding the Earth during a solar storm could lead to electrical power stations being off line for weeks and months at a time, as overworked workers try to repair badly damaged electrical equipment.

According to the NRC report (see page 3, in PDF file), this would lead to,
“disruption of the transportation, communication, banking, and finance systems, and government services; the breakdown of the distribution of potable water owing to pump failure; and the loss of perishable foods and medications because of lack of refrigeration.” CONTINUAR EN LINK


http://abcnews.go.com/Technology/JustOneThing/story?id=6615005&page=1La NASA anuncia que una tempestad solar puede causar un desastre en 2012
Un reciente informe (un dossier de 145 páginas) realizado para la NASA y la ESA a traves de la Academia Nacional de Ciencias de EE.UU. corrobora las apocalipticas predicciones para el año 2012. El informe dice que se espera para el 2012 una tormenta solar que dara al traste con todos los sistemas vivos en la Tierra. ......CONTINÚA...

www.urgente24.com/index.php?id=ver&tx_ttnews[tt_news]=116577&cHash=7e906d303b
La NASA pronostica fuertes tormentas solares para el 2012 16/01/2009 Un informe publicado por la NASA prevee fuertes tormentas solares para el 2012, lo que podría devenir en una caída en cascada de todos los sistemas de comunicaciones del planeta. ................

www.bibliotecapleyades.net/esp_2012_30.htm de este link de interés quería asegurarme de esta frase se va a leer:
Many inventors, inspired by Tesla’s theories and patents, have claimed they have been able to replicate and improve on his basic models. Numerous research papers have been written supporting the feasibility of Tesla’s ideas and patents.
Nikola Tesla - The Forgotten Wizard

Unfortunately, many inventors of 'free energy' generators and supporters of Tesla’s ideas have been harassed or intimidated by unknown government agencies and/or corporate entities opposed to creation of such devices.

Fuelless energy generators threaten vested interests dependent on conventional fossil fuels for providing electricity to the general public.

A number of non-governmental initiatives are underway to support inventors wanting to develop new energy generators. These include the New Energy Movement, the New Energy Congress and the Orion Project, all of which are privately funded and seeking public assistance. The time has arrived where inventors and organizations seeking the creation of new energy generators need to be supported.

The alternative is to watch the centralized electrical power system become increasingly unreliable and even collapse as solar storms sweep over the planet as Solar Cycle 24 moves into its active phase.

President Obama needs to urgently support an ambitious plan to develop and supply American families, small business and essential services with small scale new energy generators.

http://science.nasa.gov/science-news/science-at-nasa/2009/21jan_severespaceweather/ January 21, 2009

www.scribd.com/doc/14042610/Electrical-Power-Grid-to-Be-Blasted-by-... INFORME RESUMIDO www.youtube.com/watch?v=jHa-BColqus&feature=player_embedded DOCUMENTAL EN DISCOVERY CHANNEL SOBRE PELIGRO DE TORMENTA SOLAR.
www.youtube.com/watch?v=5tCobQ6xj_g&feature=player_embedded 2ª PARTE

Iniciado por decrEStafa

When hell comes to Earth

Severe space weather events often coincide with the appearance of sunspots, which are indicators of particularly intense magnetic fields at the sun's surface.
The chaotic motion of charged particles in the upper atmosphere of the sun creates magnetic fields that writhe, twist and turn, and occasionally snap and reconfigure themselves in what is known as a "reconnection". These reconnection events are violent, and can fling out billions of tonness of plasma in a "coronal mass ejection" (CME).
If flung towards the Earth, the plasma ball will accelerate as it travels through space and its intense magnetic field will soon interact with the planet's magnetic field, the magnetosphere. Depending on the relative orientation of the two fields, several things can happen. If the fields are oriented in the same direction, they slip round one another. (ESTO QUE AVISABA EN 2009 ES LO QUE DICE EL LINK DEL ABC PUESTO ANTES; VINO CON ORIENTACIÓN FAVORABLE; CON LA 1ª DE UNAS 1.700 QUE CALCULAN HEMOS TENIDO SUERTE ) . In the worst case scenario, though, when the field of a particularly energetic CME opposes the Earth's field, things get much more dramatic. "The Earth can't cope with the plasma," says James Green, head of NASA's planetary division. "The CME just opens up the magnetosphere like a can-opener, and matter squirts in."
The sun's activity waxes and wanes every 11 years or so, with the appearance of sunspots following the same cycle. This period isn't consistent, however. Sometimes the interval between sunspot maxima is as short as nine years, other times as long as 14 years. At the moment the sun appears calm. "We're in the equivalent of an idyllic summer's day. The sun is quiet and benign, the quietest it has been for 100 years," says Mike Hapgood, who chairs the European Space Agency's space weather team, "but it could turn the other way." The next solar maximum is expected in 2012.
http://science.nasa.gov/headlines/y2009/21jan_severespaceweather.htm
Apocalipsis geomagnético
Recuerdan las profecías mayas que hablan acerca del fin de la civilización para el año 2012? Muchos no creen en ese tipo de cosas, pero según científicos de la NASA, esto no estaría completamente alejado de la realidad. "No tenemos idea del potencial destructivo de las tormentas solares".

Un libro llamado "Graves eventos climáticos espaciales: Comprendiendo las repercusiones sociales y económicas" describe las consecuencias de los vientos solares cuya descarga de energía podría tener un grave efecto sobre el campo magnético de la tierra, y no solo sobre él, también podría sobrecargar los cables de alta tensión y provocar cortos circuitos de magnitudes globales. Esta catástrofe le podría costar a EEUU de 1 a 2 trillones de dólares¡¡ sólo el primer año (sin exagerar). Recuperarse de esta catástrofe podría tomar aproximadamente 10 años. No está por demás decir que este grave efecto en las redes eléctricas podría afectar en mayor medida a los países en vías de desarrollo como el nuestro, que no tenemos un capital suficiente como para afrontar este gasto.

Y para agravar más la situación, se espera que este incremento en la actividad solar para el 2012 coincida justo con un inusual hoyo en el campo magnético de la tierra. Por si no lo saben, nuestro campo magnético nos protege de los nocivos rayos solares, al tener este hoyo, esta protección se verá reducida enormemente justo cuando más la necesitaríamos. (no sólo nos abandona la banca y los poliquillos; tb la atmósfera ...)


http://sohowww.nascom.nasa.gov/pickoftheweek/ SOLAR AND HELIOSPHERIC OBSERVATORY (• European Site • US Site

Last modification: 01 Apr 2011
VER ESTAS FOTOS COMPARATIVAS DEL SOL: PASADO 1ABRIL Y DE 2009 !! (CLICAR LINK, PORQUE NO PUEDO COPIARLA)

Then and Now (April 1, 2011)

Hi-res TIF image (2.3M)


Quicktime Movie: Large ( 27M), Small (2.0M)

MPEG Large (2.3M), Large (263K)

A side-by-side comparison of the Sun from precisely two years ago (left, from SOHO) to the present (right, from Solar Dynamics Observatory) dramatically illustrates just how active the Sun has become (Mar. 27-28, 2011). Viewed in two similar wavelengths of extreme ultraviolet light, the Sun now sports numerous active regions that appear as lighter areas that are capable of producing solar storms. Two years ago the Sun was in a very quiet period (solar minimum). The Sun?s maximum period of activity is predicted to be around 2013, so we still have quite a ways to go.

Muy agradecido por la información que preoporcionan tus posts en este y en otros temas.
De nuevo gracias.

http://ciencia.nasa.gov/headlines/y2006/10mar_stormwarning.htm

Alerta sobre Tormenta Solar

Investigadores predicen la inminente llegada de la tormenta solar más intensa en los últimos 50 años.
Marzo 10, 2006: La noticia esta confirmada: el Mínimo Solar ha llegado. Las manchas solares han desaparecido. No hay llamaradas solares. El Sol se encuentra tranquilo. Como la calma antes de la tormenta.
Esta semana un grupo de investigadores anunció que una tormenta viene en camino —la más intensa durante un mínimo solar en cincuenta años. La predicción fue hecha por el equipo dirigido por Mausumi Dikpati del Centro Nacional de Investigaciones Atmosféricas (National Center for Atmospheric Research ó NCAR). "El siguiente ciclo solar será de un 30 a un 50% más intenso que el anterior", dice ella. Si esto es correcto, en los próximos años se producirá un estallido de actividad solar apenas menor que el del histórico máximo solar de 1958.
Ese fue un máximo solar. La era espacial apenas comenzaba: el satélite Sputnik fue lanzado en octubre de 1957 y el Explorer 1 (primer satélite estadounidense) en enero de 1958. En aquellos años no se podía saber si una tormenta solar se avecinaba viendo las barritas de intensidad de señal de un teléfono celular. Aun así, la gente sabía que algo grande estaba pasando porque las luces del norte se habían visto ya tres veces en México. Hoy en día, un máximo solar de intensidad similar tendría un efecto notable en teléfonos celulares, aparatos de GPS, satélites climatológicos y en muchas otras tecnologías modernas. ( A VER SI POR "ESTO" VAN A FALLAR LAS TELEMEDIDAS Y NOS EMPAPELA EL SEBAS...)


www.nasa.gov/centers/goddard/news/topstory/2006/solar_cycle.html 03.06.06
Scientists Gaze Inside Sun, Predict Strength of the Next Solar Cycle
www.ucar.edu/news/releases/2006/sunspot.shtml NCAR News ReleaseScientists Issue Unprecedented Forecast of Next Sunspot Cycle

March 6, 2006
de este link www.bibliotecapleyades.net/esp_2012_30.htm quería resaltar esta frase del gran genio (cuyas patentes fueron robadas algunas por Edisson y otros oportunistas, y posteriormente por.... el Pentágono, pero claro para otros usos de los que había pensado Tesla: HAARP, etc.
"..An innovative attempt to develop power generators independent of the centralized electrical grid based fossil fuels are found in patents developed by the great inventor, Nikola Tesla (1856-1943). (VER VÍDEO SOBRE TESLA EN EL LINK)
Tesla claimed that he could harness energy from the environment to power electrical devices.
He said in 1933:
"This new power for the driving of the world's machinery will be derived from the energy which operates the universe, the cosmic energy, whose central source for the earth is the sun and which is everywhere present in unlimited quantities.” (dijo aprovechar el sol !!! a crucifical-lo !!! ) si se le hubiera hecho caso, daños como estos serían infinitamente más limitados; pero había que centralizarlo todo para que unos pocos se lleven "rentabilidades más que razonables"... Y EN ELLO SIGUEN; HASTA QUE LLEVEN A TODO AL CARAJO PARA BENEFICIO DEL CLAN...)
On November 5, 1901, Tesla was granted his first patent for his 'free' or 'new energy' device which he called: "Apparatus for The Utilization of Radiant Energy.": VER INVENTOS QUE YA OFRECÍA EL SOCIO PARA LA NO CENTRALIZACIÓN DE LA ENERGÍA: ( www.bibliotecapleyades.net/archivos_pdf/apparatus_radiantenergy.pdf )


www.bibliotecapleyades.net/archivos_pdf/severespace_weatherevents.pdf
INFORME ORIGINAL DEL NATIONAL RESEARCH COUNCIL SOBRE EL RIESGO DE AHORA.

(ya seguiré en otro rato que pueda...)

Sobre el tema este del sol quería señalar que el pico solar en marcha no es algo novedoso: AVISAN QUE SIEMPRE LOS HUBO, PERO LO NOVEDOSO Y PELIGROS ES QUE ESTE PICO QUE SE ANUNCIA TAN FUERTE SERÁ EL QUE NOS PILLE CON UN MAYOR RIESGO AL DEPENDER TANTO DE UNA RED DE SATÉLITES Y DE LA ELECTRICIDAD.
HAY INFORMACIÓN DE QUE RECIENTEMENTE YA SE HA CREADO ALGÚN PROBLEMA MENOR PARA LO QUE SE ESPERA. Y POCOS AÑOS ATRÁS TAMBIÉN HUBO MÁS EVENTOS DE LOS QUE APENAS SABÍAMOS. ASÍ QUE SI NO SE HA APRENDIDO ANTES DE ELLO, NO ES CULPA DEL SOL NI DE LOS MAYAS.
Entre los posibles efectos: caída de satélites como aquel llamado Skylab, ¿recuerdan?. ASÍ QUE LOS FOTOVOLTAICOS TENEMOS QUE ESTAR PREPARADOS: A LA CAZA DE POSIBLES SATÉLITES PARA MANGARLE LAS PLACAS SOLARES Y EL COBRE QUE LLEVEN . Si el clan nos llama mangantes, pues que se cumpla al menos alguna vez...

www.informador.com.mx/tecnologia/2011/271445/6/erupcion-solar-provoca-tormenta-electromagnetica.htm
Erupción solar provoca ‘tormenta electromagnética’
BEIJING, CHINA (16/FEB/2011).-Una erupción solar de gran tamaño, que produjo una "tormenta electromagnética", afectó a las comunicaciones de radio por onda corta en China, informó la Administración Meteorológica del país asiático en un comunicado.
La explosión en la superficie del Sol se produjo a las 1:56 GMT de ayer, lunes, causando distorsiones en la ionosfera terrestre sobre China, destacó el comunicado, del que se hizo eco la agencia oficial Xinhua.


http://astrofisicayfisica.blogspot.com/search/label/sol 8 marzo 2011 Gigantesca erupción solar
Hace dos semanas, el Observatorio de Dinámica Solar de la NASA que orbita el Sol obtuvo este vídeo con una impresionantemente gran prominencia en erupción desde la superficie. La explosión duró 90 minutos y su tamaño es espectacular: la Tierra entera podría fácilmente caber en la cortina de gas caliente generada.
www.revista-noticias.com.ar/comun/nota.php?art=3187&ed=1787
El sol, bajo alerta máxima
Acaba de entrar en una fase de alta actividad signada por violentas explosiones. Sus efectos sobre la Tierra.
Las once naves espaciales norteamericanas y europeas que se encuentran en órbita alrededor del Sol para estudiarlo registraron en las últimas semanas un extraño fenómeno. Algo está perturbando al enorme globo estelar en permanente proceso de fusión nuclear, que produce energía por causa del violento choque de los átomos de hidrógeno de su masa.
La vida en la Tierra depende de los estados de ánimo del Sol, que acaban de entrar en la fase de extrema irritabilidad denominada por los astrónomos como “alta actividad”.
Los chorros emitidos por el Sol en los últimos días recibieron el nombre de “huracanes solares” y que pondrán a prueba las defensas naturales del planeta Tierra, que anteriormente ya enfrentó explosiones de furia similares procedentes de la estrella a la cual le debe la vida, y que, eventualmente, decretará su muerte biológica.
Los científicos prevén que el pico más alto de este período de alta actividad solar será en el 2013. Cuando el Sol se encuentra en baja actividad, hay una explosión cada dos días. En alta actividad, este número se multiplica por doce.
Jeffrey Newmark, físico que participa en los programas de la Nasa que estudian el Sol, dice: “Existe el riesgo de que en el 2013 los vientos solares provoquen estragos, ya que el mundo de hoy depende más de los sistemas electrónicos que antes. Sin embargo, con la tecnología actual conseguimos observar mejor al Sol y prever con exactitud cuándo los vientos solares llegarán a la Tierra”.

www.igooh.com/notas/el-sol-podria-causar-un-gigantesco-apagon-en-la-tierra/
08/03/2011 El Sol podría causar un gigantesco apagón en la Tierra
Las señales de los sistemas de posicionamiento global (GPS) son afectadas cuando la actividad solar provoca variaciones repentinas en la densidad ionosférica.

Se espera una tormenta solar para 2012 / La tormenta podría inhabilitar parte de los modernos satélites, redes eléctricas, y artefactos electrónicos / Expertos en todo el mundo aconsejan tomar medidas / Según el divulgador Astrónomico del CIDA,
Durante las últimas dos semanas de enero el sol mostró su poder al lanzar dos enormes llamaradas o erupciones, que anuncian el reinicio de lo que se conoce como "máximo solar", fenómeno, que se produce cada 11 años y se activó en septiembre de 2010.
El jueves de esta semana, una llamarada de mediana intensidad, lanzo al espacio suficiente radiación
El 14 de febrero, el astro rey emitió una de las más fuertes erupciones registradas en los últimos 4 años. El gran destello vino acompañado de una de las llamadas eyecciones coronales o burbujas de plasma, que lanzan al espacio olas masivas de partículas eléctricamente cargadas. En otras palabras, en la gigantesca lengua de fuego viajan desde rayos gamma y rayos X, hasta luz visible y grandes longitudes de ondas de radio.
La NASA estima que esta erupción solar -bautizada como la "Llamarada San Valentín"- fue del tipo X, es decir, de las más potentes y capaces de producir desde cortes en las transmisiones radiales hasta tormentas de radiación que pueden durar largos periodos de tiempo.
De hecho, pocos días después de la erupción de San Valentín, la ola de partículas eyectadas por el Sol interactuó con el campo magnético de la Tierra (coraza invisible que protege al planeta de este tipo de radiaciones) y causó una tormenta geomagnética que dejó sin radiocomunicaciones a zonas del oeste del Océano Pacifico, así como partes de Asia, y obligó a líneas aéreas a cambiar algunas de sus rutas polares para evitar problemas en las radio-transmisiones.
Pero esto es apenas un abreboca de lo que podría pasar entre 2012 y 2013 cuando se estima que este nuevo máximo solar, que se inició en septiembre de 2010, alcance su pico de actividad.
En 2008 la Sociedad Americana para el avance de las Ciencias (AAAS), preparó un informe donde advertía sobre el impacto desastroso que podría tener sobre el mundo moderno un incremento de la actividad solar en los próximos años.